Comments on: Throwback Quote of the Day http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/ Entrepreneurial Leadership and Management . . . and Other Stuff Sun, 05 Feb 2012 18:29:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: John http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-6937 John Tue, 17 Jul 2007 18:19:28 +0000 http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-6937 I have to go with Will, we're looking at mostly incremental changes, there may be a few truly disruptive advances lurking out there, but I don't think real life experience altering changes of the order of magnitude are out there like they were in the 19th and 20th century. Speaking of the 19th century, or more specifically say 1828 to 1928, I think you are looking at the most radical changes in humankind. Two years earlier, in July of 1825 John Adams and Thomas Jefferson died in bed, there was no anesthesia or pain killer (except alcohol) to ally you pain, virtually no effective medicines, and surgery was painful and highly risky and rarely effective. Germs, what are germs? You could cross the Atlantic, reliably, no faster than the Vikings, and all the way you had no better idea where you were than centuries before. Communication was no faster than 1,000 years before. We don't know what our first presidents looked or sounded like except through the eyes and ears of artists, there was no recording technology. In the century from 1828 to 1928 pretty much everything changed. A very short and incomplete list Communication: 1844: Morse's telegraph 1849: first telephone, Antonio Meucci 1853: the first transatlantic cable 1903: transatlantic radio transmission Transportation: 1838: Great Western Steam ship crosses Atlantic in 1/2 the time of previous records. 1903: Wright Brothers Powered flight 1928: Lindberg's transatlantic flight Medicine: 1844-47: general anesthesia, Nitrous, ether chloroform 1853: hypodermic needles allow widespread use of Morphine 1867: antiseptic surgery 1881: anthrax vaccine (many more vaccines follow) 1895: Medical X-rays 1899: commercial aspirin 1901: blood typing 1928: Penicillin General technology: 1832: Faraday's dynamo 1839: first "permanent" photograph 1842: mechanical refrigeration 1876: practical 4 stroke engine 1874: QWERTY keyboard typewriter 1877: the phonograph 1910: first jet engine powered flight General science: 1849: 1st successful terrestrial measurement of speed of light 1859: origin of the species 1869: the peridic table 1904: nuclear model of the atom 1828-1928: pretty much all of physics Benjamin Franklin foresaw the coming radical pace of technological change and lamented he would not be around to witness it. John I have to go with Will, we’re looking at mostly incremental changes, there may be a few truly disruptive advances lurking out there, but I don’t think real life experience altering changes of the order of magnitude are out there like they were in the 19th and 20th century.

Speaking of the 19th century, or more specifically say 1828 to 1928, I think you are looking at the most radical changes in humankind. Two years earlier, in July of 1825 John Adams and Thomas Jefferson died in bed, there was no anesthesia or pain killer (except alcohol) to ally you pain, virtually no effective medicines, and surgery was painful and highly risky and rarely effective. Germs, what are germs? You could cross the Atlantic, reliably, no faster than the Vikings, and all the way you had no better idea where you were than centuries before. Communication was no faster than 1,000 years before. We don’t know what our first presidents looked or sounded like except through the eyes and ears of artists, there was no recording technology. In the century from 1828 to 1928 pretty much everything changed.

A very short and incomplete list

Communication:
1844: Morse’s telegraph
1849: first telephone, Antonio Meucci
1853: the first transatlantic cable
1903: transatlantic radio transmission

Transportation:
1838: Great Western Steam ship crosses Atlantic in 1/2 the time of previous records.
1903: Wright Brothers Powered flight
1928: Lindberg’s transatlantic flight

Medicine:
1844-47: general anesthesia, Nitrous, ether chloroform
1853: hypodermic needles allow widespread use of Morphine
1867: antiseptic surgery
1881: anthrax vaccine (many more vaccines follow)
1895: Medical X-rays
1899: commercial aspirin
1901: blood typing
1928: Penicillin

General technology:
1832: Faraday’s dynamo
1839: first “permanent” photograph
1842: mechanical refrigeration
1876: practical 4 stroke engine
1874: QWERTY keyboard typewriter
1877: the phonograph
1910: first jet engine powered flight

General science:
1849: 1st successful terrestrial measurement of speed of light
1859: origin of the species
1869: the peridic table
1904: nuclear model of the atom
1828-1928: pretty much all of physics

Benjamin Franklin foresaw the coming radical pace of technological change and lamented he would not be around to witness it.

John

]]> By: John http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-106345 John Tue, 17 Jul 2007 18:19:00 +0000 http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-106345 I have to go with Will, we're looking at mostly incremental changes, there may be a few truly disruptive advances lurking out there, but I don't think real life experience altering changes of the order of magnitude are out there like they were in the 19th and 20th century. Speaking of the 19th century, or more specifically say 1828 to 1928, I think you are looking at the most radical changes in humankind. Two years earlier, in July of 1825 John Adams and Thomas Jefferson died in bed, there was no anesthesia or pain killer (except alcohol) to ally you pain, virtually no effective medicines, and surgery was painful and highly risky and rarely effective. Germs, what are germs? You could cross the Atlantic, reliably, no faster than the Vikings, and all the way you had no better idea where you were than centuries before. Communication was no faster than 1,000 years before. We don't know what our first presidents looked or sounded like except through the eyes and ears of artists, there was no recording technology. In the century from 1828 to 1928 pretty much everything changed. A very short and incomplete list Communication: 1844: Morse's telegraph 1849: first telephone, Antonio Meucci 1853: the first transatlantic cable 1903: transatlantic radio transmission Transportation: 1838: Great Western Steam ship crosses Atlantic in 1/2 the time of previous records. 1903: Wright Brothers Powered flight 1928: Lindberg's transatlantic flight Medicine: 1844-47: general anesthesia, Nitrous, ether chloroform 1853: hypodermic needles allow widespread use of Morphine 1867: antiseptic surgery 1881: anthrax vaccine (many more vaccines follow) 1895: Medical X-rays 1899: commercial aspirin 1901: blood typing 1928: Penicillin General technology: 1832: Faraday's dynamo 1839: first "permanent" photograph 1842: mechanical refrigeration 1876: practical 4 stroke engine 1874: QWERTY keyboard typewriter 1877: the phonograph 1910: first jet engine powered flight General science: 1849: 1st successful terrestrial measurement of speed of light 1859: origin of the species 1869: the peridic table 1904: nuclear model of the atom 1828-1928: pretty much all of physics Benjamin Franklin foresaw the coming radical pace of technological change and lamented he would not be around to witness it. John I have to go with Will, we’re looking at mostly incremental changes, there may be a few truly disruptive advances lurking out there, but I don’t think real life experience altering changes of the order of magnitude are out there like they were in the 19th and 20th century.

Speaking of the 19th century, or more specifically say 1828 to 1928, I think you are looking at the most radical changes in humankind. Two years earlier, in July of 1825 John Adams and Thomas Jefferson died in bed, there was no anesthesia or pain killer (except alcohol) to ally you pain, virtually no effective medicines, and surgery was painful and highly risky and rarely effective. Germs, what are germs? You could cross the Atlantic, reliably, no faster than the Vikings, and all the way you had no better idea where you were than centuries before. Communication was no faster than 1,000 years before. We don’t know what our first presidents looked or sounded like except through the eyes and ears of artists, there was no recording technology. In the century from 1828 to 1928 pretty much everything changed.

A very short and incomplete list

Communication:
1844: Morse’s telegraph
1849: first telephone, Antonio Meucci
1853: the first transatlantic cable
1903: transatlantic radio transmission

Transportation:
1838: Great Western Steam ship crosses Atlantic in 1/2 the time of previous records.
1903: Wright Brothers Powered flight
1928: Lindberg’s transatlantic flight

Medicine:
1844-47: general anesthesia, Nitrous, ether chloroform
1853: hypodermic needles allow widespread use of Morphine
1867: antiseptic surgery
1881: anthrax vaccine (many more vaccines follow)
1895: Medical X-rays
1899: commercial aspirin
1901: blood typing
1928: Penicillin

General technology:
1832: Faraday’s dynamo
1839: first “permanent” photograph
1842: mechanical refrigeration
1876: practical 4 stroke engine
1874: QWERTY keyboard typewriter
1877: the phonograph
1910: first jet engine powered flight

General science:
1849: 1st successful terrestrial measurement of speed of light
1859: origin of the species
1869: the peridic table
1904: nuclear model of the atom
1828-1928: pretty much all of physics

Benjamin Franklin foresaw the coming radical pace of technological change and lamented he would not be around to witness it.

John

]]> By: Will http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-6892 Will Mon, 16 Jul 2007 13:02:52 +0000 http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-6892 Yeah, I suppose I can't argue with the whole Internet publishing thing. You're right about that. I see the exponential increase in transistors as incremental, though. It's impact on the man on the street is relatively small and generally the impact is a second-order effect - a minority of people who use the power deliver other stuff that impacts the majority of people. So, it never appears as a massive change to the masses. Yeah, I suppose I can’t argue with the whole Internet publishing thing. You’re right about that. I see the exponential increase in transistors as incremental, though. It’s impact on the man on the street is relatively small and generally the impact is a second-order effect – a minority of people who use the power deliver other stuff that impacts the majority of people. So, it never appears as a massive change to the masses.

]]> By: Will http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-106344 Will Mon, 16 Jul 2007 13:02:00 +0000 http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-106344 Yeah, I suppose I can't argue with the whole Internet publishing thing. You're right about that. I see the exponential increase in transistors as incremental, though. It's impact on the man on the street is relatively small and generally the impact is a second-order effect - a minority of people who use the power deliver other stuff that impacts the majority of people. So, it never appears as a massive change to the masses. Yeah, I suppose I can’t argue with the whole Internet publishing thing. You’re right about that. I see the exponential increase in transistors as incremental, though. It’s impact on the man on the street is relatively small and generally the impact is a second-order effect – a minority of people who use the power deliver other stuff that impacts the majority of people. So, it never appears as a massive change to the masses.

]]> By: Dave http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-6861 Dave Sun, 15 Jul 2007 20:13:07 +0000 http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-6861 I'm not one to over-gush about the Internet but I think it's hard to claim that the ability for anyone to publish, any time, and make it accessible to everyone instantaneously, is hardly an "incremental" change. Further, we tend to think of changes as "incremental" when in fact they are exponential - for example, in the last two years, the number of transistors on a chip increased by the same amount as in the first 40 years of integrated circuits - is that merely incremental just because it's another point on an exponential curve? I’m not one to over-gush about the Internet but I think it’s hard to claim that the ability for anyone to publish, any time, and make it accessible to everyone instantaneously, is hardly an “incremental” change. Further, we tend to think of changes as “incremental” when in fact they are exponential – for example, in the last two years, the number of transistors on a chip increased by the same amount as in the first 40 years of integrated circuits – is that merely incremental just because it’s another point on an exponential curve?

]]> By: Dave http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-106343 Dave Sun, 15 Jul 2007 20:13:00 +0000 http://www.2-speed.com/2007/07/throwback-quote-of-the-day/#comment-106343 I'm not one to over-gush about the Internet but I think it's hard to claim that the ability for anyone to publish, any time, and make it accessible to everyone instantaneously, is hardly an "incremental" change. Further, we tend to think of changes as "incremental" when in fact they are exponential - for example, in the last two years, the number of transistors on a chip increased by the same amount as in the first 40 years of integrated circuits - is that merely incremental just because it's another point on an exponential curve? I’m not one to over-gush about the Internet but I think it’s hard to claim that the ability for anyone to publish, any time, and make it accessible to everyone instantaneously, is hardly an “incremental” change. Further, we tend to think of changes as “incremental” when in fact they are exponential – for example, in the last two years, the number of transistors on a chip increased by the same amount as in the first 40 years of integrated circuits – is that merely incremental just because it’s another point on an exponential curve?

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